Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
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Barring Trump From Office Is More Popular Than Convicting Him

Barring Trump From Office Is More Popular Than Convicting Him

Former President Donald Trump is the only president to have been impeached twice by the House of Representatives. And the fact that his second impeachment trial will now happen after he’s already left office further complicates things. (In addition to being the only president to be impeached twice, he is the only president to face an impeachment trial after leaving office.)As a sign of where things are headed: Just five Senate Republicans agreed that in an earlier procedural vote in January, suggesting that it is extremely unlikely Democrats garner the 17 Republican votes necessary to...

February 8, 2021
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Do Americans Support Removing Trump From Office?

Do Americans Support Removing Trump From Office?

Our polling averages on support for and opposition to removing Trump from office are no longer updating.By , and Latest newsWednesday evening, the House passed its aimed at removing President Trump from office. But as FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. wrote, it was still , with only 10 Republicans joining the latest rebuke of the president. What happens next is, in many ways, anyone’s guess, but it doesn’t seem as if we’ll have an answer before Joe Biden’s inauguration next week. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is reported to , but McConnell has indicated that he thinks until after...

January 13, 2021
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Why Statistics Don’t Capture The Full Extent Of The Systemic Bias In Policing

Why Statistics Don’t Capture The Full Extent Of The Systemic Bias In Policing

Graphics by, demonstrators have spent the past few weeks protesting against racial disparities in the country’s criminal justice system. There’s of to back them up: Black and Hispanic people are , , and . Once stopped, police are to against, and . And then once in jail, Black defendants are , which in turn . And when convicted, sentencing is against , with Black defendants .The data seems to overwhelmingly point to a criminal justice system riven by racial bias. But, remarkably, it could be even more overwhelming than some studies make it seem. That’s because of a statistical quirk called...

June 25, 2020
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Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model 

Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model 

ere we are, in the middle of a pandemic, staring out our living room windows like aquarium fish. The question on everybody’s minds: How bad will this really get? Followed quickly by: Seriously, how long am I going to have to live cooped up like this?We all want answers. And, given the volume of research and data being collected about the novel coronavirus, it seems like answers ought to exist.There are certainly numbers out there. Trouble is, . For example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is using models that forecast a best-case scenario in which about 200,000 Americans die,...

March 31, 2020
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