Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): In April, President Biden announced that it was time to by sending home the roughly 2,500 Americans troops that remained there. It wasn’t apparent at the time, but that decision now appears to have . Over the weekend, the Taliban, the ousted militant group that came to power in the country in the mid-1990s, seized control of the capital, weeks before the U.S. was set to withdraw its remaining troops.The Afghanistan War has spanned four presidencies now, so it’s hard to blame Biden...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): In April, President Biden announced that it was time to by sending home the roughly 2,500 Americans troops that remained there. It wasn’t apparent at the time, but that decision now appears to have . Over the weekend, the Taliban, the ousted militant group that came to power in the country in the mid-1990s, seized control of the capital, weeks before the U.S. was set to withdraw its remaining troops.The Afghanistan War has spanned four presidencies now, so it’s hard to blame Biden...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): We’re closing in on the first 100 days of Joe Biden’s presidency (Wednesday marks Day 92). As such, it’s time for us to take a step back — of — to evaluate what we’ve learned so far.Yes, the 100-day mark of a presidency is arbitrary and not necessarily indicative of how a presidency will be remembered. But, at the same time, it can offer a window into or underscore possible problems. And for Biden, the circumstances have been particularly high-stakes given the unprecedented problems posed...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): We’re closing in on the first 100 days of Joe Biden’s presidency (Wednesday marks Day 92). As such, it’s time for us to take a step back — of — to evaluate what we’ve learned so far.Yes, the 100-day mark of a presidency is arbitrary and not necessarily indicative of how a presidency will be remembered. But, at the same time, it can offer a window into or underscore possible problems. And for Biden, the circumstances have been particularly high-stakes given the unprecedented problems posed...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): With unified control of the White House and Congress, Democrats are pushing a number of sweeping legislative priorities, to to now possibly adding (or at least studying the possibility of adding) .This raises a number of questions about the Democrats’ ambitious agenda, including:Is it good for democracy? Is it good for Democrats?Does it stand any chance of happening?Let’s start with the commission Biden has created to study adding seats to the Supreme Court or setting term limits for...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): With unified control of the White House and Congress, Democrats are pushing a number of sweeping legislative priorities, to to now possibly adding (or at least studying the possibility of adding) .This raises a number of questions about the Democrats’ ambitious agenda, including:Is it good for democracy? Is it good for Democrats?Does it stand any chance of happening?Let’s start with the commission Biden has created to study adding seats to the Supreme Court or setting term limits for...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): Georgia’s new voting law has captured headlines for . It’s also not the only state considering these kinds of laws; there are nearly 20 states in which voting restrictions have already passed at least one step of the legislative process. More than 300 voting restriction bills, , have been introduced in state legislatures this year of from former President Trump and his supporters that the 2020 presidential election was rigged. (Sixty percent of Republican voters from Trump.)But...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): Georgia’s new voting law has captured headlines for . It’s also not the only state considering these kinds of laws; there are nearly 20 states in which voting restrictions have already passed at least one step of the legislative process. More than 300 voting restriction bills, , have been introduced in state legislatures this year of from former President Trump and his supporters that the 2020 presidential election was rigged. (Sixty percent of Republican voters from Trump.)But...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): On Sunday, The Washington Post had with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, where he urged the Republican to “find” enough votes to overturn the result in Georgia and declare him the winner.This story has captured headlines, as it is by far Trump’s most brazen attempt to overturn November’s results, although it is hardly his first time trying to do so. Trump has repeatedly tried to cast doubt on the election results since Biden was declared the winner on Nov. 7, citing and to...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): On Sunday, The Washington Post had with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, where he urged the Republican to “find” enough votes to overturn the result in Georgia and declare him the winner.This story has captured headlines, as it is by far Trump’s most brazen attempt to overturn November’s results, although it is hardly his first time trying to do so. Trump has repeatedly tried to cast doubt on the election results since Biden was declared the winner on Nov. 7, citing and to...WW…

Sarah Frostenson is FiveThirtyEight’s politics editor.Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.Perry Bacon Jr. was a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight.Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux is a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight.Filed underYou are now subscribed!Email AddressSign me up…Sarah Frostenson is FiveThirtyEight’s politics editor.Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.Perry Bacon Jr. was a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight.Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux is a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight.Filed underYou are now subscribed!Email AddressSign me upWW…

Welcome to a special edition of FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): We’ve been saying for a while now that we’re in the thick of the presidential election, and it’s true, we are! We’ve just a little over a month now to go, and people are already busy casting ballots.Today, though, marks Americans’ first real opportunity to see President Trump and Joe Biden go head-to-head in the first of three scheduled presidential debates. The candidates are expected to stick to six topics:The reality going into tonight is this: Donald Trump is , and...…Welcome to a special edition of FiveThirtyEight’s . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): We’ve been saying for a while now that we’re in the thick of the presidential election, and it’s true, we are! We’ve just a little over a month now to go, and people are already busy casting ballots.Today, though, marks Americans’ first real opportunity to see President Trump and Joe Biden go head-to-head in the first of three scheduled presidential debates. The candidates are expected to stick to six topics:The reality going into tonight is this: Donald Trump is , and...WW…

With in Nevada, it’s time for us to turn our back on, as we think the results we have are pretty representative and the topline picture appears set. Sen. Bernie Sanders won, and he won big. As of the time of this writing, he leads the initial popular vote in Nevada by 16 percentage points. He also gained the most votes on realignment: He leads the final, realigned popular vote by 21 points and is even further ahead, 26 points, in county convention delegates. In short, he’s projected to receive the bulk of Nevada’s 36 national convention delegates. Here’s The New York Times’s results (they...…With in Nevada, it’s time for us to turn our back on, as we think the results we have are pretty representative and the topline picture appears set. Sen. Bernie Sanders won, and he won big. As of the time of this writing, he leads the initial popular vote in Nevada by 16 percentage points. He also gained the most votes on realignment: He leads the final, realigned popular vote by 21 points and is even further ahead, 26 points, in county convention delegates. In short, he’s projected to receive the bulk of Nevada’s 36 national convention delegates. Here’s The New York Times’s results (they...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarahf (, politics editor): FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found that former Vice President Joe Biden’s average lead of 6 percentage points over President Trump in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. In other words, Biden has led, on average, by 6 points since the beginning of 2020, but he’s also led by 6 points since the beginning of 2019.Biden also has according to some early polls, yet many Americans despite the many, many polls showing Biden ahead. How do we explain this disconnect?...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarahf (, politics editor): FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found that former Vice President Joe Biden’s average lead of 6 percentage points over President Trump in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. In other words, Biden has led, on average, by 6 points since the beginning of 2020, but he’s also led by 6 points since the beginning of 2019.Biden also has according to some early polls, yet many Americans despite the many, many polls showing Biden ahead. How do we explain this disconnect?...WW…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): The 2018 midterm elections were what we called Democrats in the House, making it the third-largest gain by any party in . However, as we cautioned then, this did not mean anything for what the electoral environment might look like in 2020. Two years is a lifetime in politics.But now we’re roughly six months away from Election Day, and it looks as if the electoral environment might once again favor Democrats. Take the Democrats’ lead over Republicans in our . It’s about 8 percentage...…Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly . The transcript below has been lightly edited.sarah (, politics editor): The 2018 midterm elections were what we called Democrats in the House, making it the third-largest gain by any party in . However, as we cautioned then, this did not mean anything for what the electoral environment might look like in 2020. Two years is a lifetime in politics.But now we’re roughly six months away from Election Day, and it looks as if the electoral environment might once again favor Democrats. Take the Democrats’ lead over Republicans in our . It’s about 8 percentage...WW…