Mark Hulbert
Mark Hulbert
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This respected market-timing model just flashed a bullish four-year outlook for stocks

This respected market-timing model just flashed a bullish four-year outlook for stocks

The median U.S. stock will produce an annualized price-only gain of 6.0% over the next four years. With dividends, that’s equivalent to nearly 8% annualized. This cheerful forecast is produced by a market timing model that has an excellent track record predicting the market’s return over the subsequent four years. It is based on a single number that is printed each week in the Value Line Investment Survey. That number represents the median of the projections made by Value Line’s analysts of where the 1,700 widely-followed stocks they closely monitor will be trading in three- to five years’...

April 24, 2020
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Why short-sellers dumping GameStop puts Reddit followers and other day traders at greater risk

Why short-sellers dumping GameStop puts Reddit followers and other day traders at greater risk

Individual retail traders may be winning their battle against the short sellers. But there’s little doubt they will lose the war. I’m referring to the hedge funds and other short sellers who have recently .This has led some to breathlessly declare that a — one in which the little guy finally exacts revenge against the big boys.I wish it were that easy. The four most dangerous words on Wall Street are “this time is different,” and the exuberance around GameStop is the functional equivalent of that dangerous phrase. Far from being different, the recent behavior of the short sellers is...

January 29, 2021
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Value Stocks May Have Done a Lot Better Than You Think

Value Stocks May Have Done a Lot Better Than You Think

Skip to Main ContentThis copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed byour Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contactDow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.https://www.wsj.com/articles/value-stocks-may-have-done-a-lot-better-than-you-think-11604791101ShareBy Nov. 7, 2020 6:18 pm ETListen to article(5 minutes)Value’s drought isn’t nearly as bad as many have made it out to be.I am referring to the disappointing performance of value stocks...

November 11, 2020
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‘Trump stocks’ have significantly lagged the U.S. market since 2016 — while ‘Clinton stocks’ have soared

‘Trump stocks’ have significantly lagged the U.S. market since 2016 — while ‘Clinton stocks’ have soared

Take with a grain of salt any forecast about which stocks will do well if Joe Biden wins the U.S. presidency. To be sure, these forecasts can make for interesting reading, but to paraphrase a quotation from Warren Buffett, their only value is to make fortune tellers look good. Consider what happened four years ago when analysts were trying to guess which stocks would do well during a Clinton administration and which under a Trump administration. They couldn’t have been more wrong.From two different websites at the time I collected 25 stocks that would supposedly thrive if Clinton were...

October 20, 2020
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This spot-on predictor of who will win the 2020 presidential election is not the stock market or even opinion polls

This spot-on predictor of who will win the 2020 presidential election is not the stock market or even opinion polls

Does the stock market predict the winner of U.S. presidential elections? Many argue that it does, pointing to the historical correlation between the incumbent party retaining the White House and the stock market’s strength in the months leading up to Election Day in November. Given President Donald Trump’s preoccupation with the stock market, he apparently agrees. Recently he tweeted that if he’s not re-elected, — though one major Wall Street firm if Trump’s presumptive challenger Joe Biden is elected.Read: I’m not so sure about this alleged correlation between the stock market and the...

July 7, 2020
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