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The Odds Have Caught Up with Trump

The Odds Have Caught Up with Trump

Support The Bulwark and subscribe today.Labor Day is coming and the race is hardening.A woman votes at a polling site in Queens during the New York Democratic presidential primary elections on June 23, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Johannes EISELE / AFP) (Photo by JOHANNES EISELE/AFP via Getty Images)Donald Trump has turned himself into the political equivalent of Steve McQueen’s Cincinnati Kid. Not unlike Trump, McQueen’s character was a gambler of rare luck, pluck and talent trying to take on and defeat the elite national gambling establishment. But after many mistakes, McQueen loses...

July 15, 2020
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How Biden Won: Six Hard Truths

How Biden Won: Six Hard Truths

Support The Bulwark and subscribe today.Digging into the exit poll data on gender, education, age, and more.(Photo by OLIVIER DOULIERY/AFP via Getty Images)How did Joe Biden win the presidential election? And what lessons does his victory hold for how he should govern?Early attempts to interpret the results of the election were hampered by the slowness of the counting—the major news outlets didn’t even call the presidential race until the Saturday after the election—and by other 2020 idiosyncrasies. In particular, the exit polls, which in a normal election year can help explain how...

December 30, 2020
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