Name: Trump turnaround: Biden lead cut to 49%-47% as coronavirus, debate don’t hurt president
Brand: washingtonexaminer.com
SKU: washingtonexaminer-com-878
Availability: OnlineOnly

critic

Trump turnaround: Biden lead cut to 49%-47% as coronavirus, debate don’t hurt president

preview

In the first post poll since President Trump announced that he had COVID-19, his chances of reelection surged, a sign that his infection and raucous debate performance didn’t hurt his chances for reelection.The new survey shared with Secrets showed Biden up 49% to 47%, his smallest lead yet in their polls. In a four-way race, Biden leads 47%-45%, with 2% each for Dr. Jo Jorgensen of the Libertarian Party and Green Party nominee Howie Hawkins.The survey challenged the media’s narrative about Biden building his lead over Trump and even surprised pollster John Zogby.Zogby said, “Contrary to my own observations, it looks like the president has not been hurt by his debate performance nor his hospitalization. His 47% performance is actually 1 point higher than his vote percentage in 2016.”With 32 days to go until election day in the United States, it's worth remembering what contracting the coronavirus did to Boris Johnson's approval numbers. — Raheem Kassam (@RaheemKassam)Biden had a solid lead in the past two Zogby/EMI polls, showing that the race is tightening. In their July 8 poll, Biden led Trump 49% to 42%, and in their latest poll, released Aug. 29, Biden had a 6-point lead, 48% to 42%.Of note in the new poll, Biden is leading among those who have or plan to vote early while Trump has the edge with Election Day voters, a finding that puts a lot of pressure on his campaign and the Republican National Committee’s get-out-the-vote operations.“Among voters who have voted already, or plan to vote by mail, Biden leads 61% to 36%. On the flip side, among those who intend to vote in person, Trump leads 58% to 39%,” read the analysis.Also, the poll suggests where the undecided voters are. “The two candidates are tied among independents at 44% each with 12% undecided,” it read.And the president’s support among black people appears to be holding. While just 11% in the Zogby/EMI poll, it is enough to keep Biden from winning, according to White House political advisers.As expected, both men are shoring up their base of voters.For Biden, noted the analysis, “the former VP is leading among Democrats 91%-8%, voters 18-29 years of age (60%-35%) and those 30-49 (50%-45%), as well as among women (56%-41%), progressives (85%-15%), liberals (85%-14%), and moderates (58%-36%). He also leads among Hispanics 61%-34% and blacks (87%-11%).”But in a warning, Zogby said of Biden, “His numbers among Hispanics are respectable but not quite at the 66%-67% he really needs. The same with blacks. His 86% is better than our last poll, but he needs to hit 90%, especially in those key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Georgia.”For Trump, it said, he “leads among fellow Republicans (94%-6%), voters 50-64 (53%-45%) and those over 65 (50%-47%). As of now, Mr. Trump is capturing a slight majority of Catholic voters (51%-46%), evangelicals (68%-32%), conservatives (78%-18%), and very conservative voters (92%-8%). He also is ahead among whites (56%-40%) and parents of children under 17 living at home (54%-40%).”Zogby said that if the numbers hold, the worst-case scenario of Trump appearing to be the Election Day winner only to lose when all mail-in votes are counted could happen.“It is important to note that since 2000, the presidential races have had a seesaw quality, and this may continue to play out for the remaining month. This poll shows that the potential for a 'red to blue shift' could be very real, with Trump winning the count on Election Day and Biden’s mail-ins coming in after the election,” said Zogby.

In the first post poll since President Trump announced that he had COVID-19, his chances of reelection surged, a sign that his infection and raucous debate performance didn’t hurt his chances for reelection.The new survey shared with Secrets showed Biden up 49% to 47%, his smallest lead yet in their polls. In a four-way race, Biden leads 47%-45%, with 2% each for Dr. Jo Jorgensen of the Libertarian Party and Green Party nominee Howie Hawkins.The survey challenged the media’s narrative about Biden building his lead over Trump and even surprised pollster John Zogby.Zogby said, “Contrary to my...

public

Paul Bedard

The Washington Examiner is an American conservative news website and weekly magazine based in Washington, D.C. It is owned by MediaDC, a subsidiary of Clarity Media Group, which is owned by Philip Anschutz. From 2005 to mid-2013, the Examiner published a daily tabloid-sized newspaper, distributed throughout the Washington, D.C., metro area. The newspaper focused on local news and political commentary. The local newspaper ceased publication on June 14, 2013, whereupon its content began to focus almost exclusively on national politics, switching its print edition from a daily newspaper to a weekly magazine format.

Trump turnaround: Biden lead cut to 49%-47% as coronavirus, debate don’t hurt president

No article scores yet.

CRITIC REVIEWS

PUBLIC REVIEWS